Buy Low Sell High Week 9
The trade deadline has come and gone in the NFL, and within the next couple of weeks, it will in most fantasy leagues as well. If you’re doing bad at this point in the season, now’s the time to make a move to try to turn your season around. If you’re doing well, now’s the time to trade for some players to make a strong push for the championship. Today, we’ll be looking at a few players that you should be looking to trade for and a few that you should look to trade away before the trade deadline hits in your league.
Buy
Davante Adams, WR
Fantasy managers of Davante Adams are currently in shambles. He’s coming off of a frustrating one-catch game where QB Jimmy Garoppolo missed him on multiple home-run plays, and that marked his third finish with less than 9 PPR points in the last four games. He started out the season well, but over the past few weeks, he’s been borderline unstartable. This is all less than ideal, but there’s reason to believe that he can bounce back over the back half of the season.
Remember when I said that Jimmy Garoppolo missed him on multiple big plays? Yeah, the Raiders seemed to notice that as well. It was announced on Wednesday that he will be benched in favor of rookie Aidan O’Connell moving forward, and at this point, anything is an upgrade for Adams. In fact, in the rookie’s only start of the year in Week 4, Adams saw 13 targets on the day and finished with over 15 PPR points. I’m not saying it’s an ideal scenario for him, but with Las Vegas overhauling everyone in a leadership position, real changes are bound to be made. Anyone who has Adams is surely willing to trade him for lower than his talent merits coming off of multiple disappointing outings.
Tee Higgins, WR
Believe it or not, Higgins went in the top three or four rounds in most fantasy leagues. He obviously hasn’t lived up to the hype, but the reasons why people were excited are still there. He’s still a great receiver on a great offense catching passes from one of the best quarterbacks in football. Injuries have derailed his season a bit so far, but I think that there’s some promising signs that he’ll be able to bounce back in the near future.
He wasn’t very good in Week 8, but he was able to end the week with his second-highest fantasy finish of the year against a tough defense. More than that, he passed the eye test. It looks like he’s finally fully healthy, and QB Joe Burrow has also proven to be nearing full health after a calf injury limited him for much of the year. When these two are healthy and on the field together, it’s only a matter of time before the ‘boom’ games start to happen. Fantasy managers should be buying him now at the lowest point he’ll be at for the rest of the season.
Puka Nacua, WR
The rookie had a bit of a disappointing game in Week 8, and that has fantasy managers freaking out about whether or not he’s legit. I’m here to tell you, he is. Yes, he’s had a rough finish in two out of the last three weeks, but are those really his fault? In Week 8, the Rams were getting wrecked by the Cowboys from the opening kickoff. The offense couldn’t move the ball at all, and that situation didn’t get any better when starting QB Matthew Stafford left the game with a thumb injury.
Now, it is hard to ignore the fact that Stafford might be missing a couple of games, but that’s what actually opens the buying window in such a great way. Fantasy managers of the receiver are freaking out at the prospect of Stafford missing significant time, even though HC Sean McVay has ruled out an IR stint for the QB. He should be back in the next few weeks, and when he is, he will pepper Nacua with targets. The rookie has yet to finish a game with less than seven targets on the year, and he’s the type of player that can win people championships when his production picks up over the back half of the season.
Other good buy-low options:
- Bijan Robinson, RB
- Chris Olave, WR
- Javonte Williams, RB
Sell
Kareem Hunt, RB
Most fantasy managers that own Hunt picked him up on waivers a few weeks ago and are now reaping the benefits. He’s finished as the RB16 or better in each of the last three weeks, and to the naked eye, it looks like he’s primed for a good rest of the season. I don’t agree with that perspective.
Over the past few weeks, almost all of Hunt’s production has come from touchdowns. He has four over the last three games, and while that’s not a bad thing, it is extremely hard to sustain. It’s especially difficult for players who aren’t very efficient. Hunt has yet to log 4.0 yards per carry or better in even a single game this year, and he also has only gotten four targets over the last three weeks. If he wants to continue producing at this pace, he will need to find something else to account for the incoming touchdown regression. That will be especially hard to do when Jerome Ford starts to get healthy again and takes more work away from the veteran. Hunt might be the easiest sell-high option of anyone at this point in the season.
George Kittle, TE
Finally! The long-awaited George Kittle fantasy breakout seems to be happening. He has finished as a top-ten tight end in each of the last two weeks and carries a ton of momentum heading into the team’s bye in Week 9. I don’t want to rain on the parade of fantasy managers everywhere, but I think that he’s currently at the peak of his season and is destined to return to Earth in the near future.
Uncoincidentally, his rise in production has directly correlated to WR Deebo Samuel being out with a shoulder injury. In games with Samuel unavailable to play, Kittle is averaging a stellar nine targets per game. However, in games with Samuel on the field, that number drops to just over four per game. That’s a huge difference, and with Samuel likely to return in Week 10 following the bye, target regression is due for the veteran tight end. It’s been a fun couple of weeks, but now’s the time to cash in and trade him before there’s once again too many mouths to feed on this offense.
DeAndre Hopkins, WR
Anyone who was brave enough to start Hopkins in Week 8 has to be jumping with joy with the performance they got out of him. He finished as the WR2 on the week and caught three touchdowns in what ended up being a 28-23 win over the Falcons. His big game seems to have been a result of the Titans starting rookie QB Will Levis, but I’m not so sure that he’s going to be very good for the rest of the year.
His Week 8 performance was great, but he did it all with just six targets on the day. That seems like a good thing, but it’s not. Hopkins hasn’t been a home-run hitting WR over the past few years of his career, and although he’s still good enough to break off an occasional big play, fantasy managers shouldn’t be relying on that in his age-31 season. He has just one game with over seven targets since Week 2, and those kinds of numbers just won’t be enough for him to sustain reliable fantasy production. He also has the added risk of Ryan Tannehill possibly returning in the near future, which would lead to his upside being capped even more. Fantasy managers should be looking to trade him for a more reliable fantasy asset coming off of his monster performance in Week 8.
Other good sell-high options:
- D’Andre Swift, RB
- Jordan Addison, WR
- Gus Edwards, RB
https://gridironexperts.com/fantasy-football-buy-low-sell-high-week-9-2023
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